Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight
Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
President: general election Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
2020 Election Forecast - FiveThirtyEight
Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight
2 days ago · On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.
About Us - FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
The 3 Big Questions I Still Have About Election Day
Nov 7, 2022 · Most Americans have given up on COVID-19 precautions, there have been no late-breaking news events with obvious electoral implications, and Donald Trump isn’t on the ballot.
Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine ...
Nov 3, 2020 · By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / FABIO BUONOCORE. FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over ...
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It ...
Nov 8, 2022 · The Senate is more competitive. By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 ...
The Case For A Republican Sweep On Election Night
By Nate Silver. Nov. 2, 2022, at 9:55 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT. Republicans reached a milestone on Tuesday, surpassing a 50 percent chance of a Senate takeover in our Deluxe forecast ...