Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight
Apr 21, 2023 — Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
3 days ago — An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read more about the methodology.
2020 Election Forecast - FiveThirtyEight
Nov 3, 2020 — Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
National : President: general election : 2024 Polls - FiveThirtyEight
1 day ago — On Sept. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the race on Aug. 23, 2024. See here for more details and an archived version of the previous average.
About Us - FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine ...
Nov 3, 2020 — By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / FABIO BUONOCORE. FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over ...
2016 Election Forecast - FiveThirtyEight
Nov 8, 2016 — Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump
National Polls | FiveThirtyEight
3 days ago — Poll type. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Forecasts Did And What We’ll Be …
Jun 8, 2021 — Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. @natesilver538