The yield curve is frequently spoken about when investors are discussing bonds and wider economics, but what precisely is it? Here, Telegraph Money explains how to use it. This guide will cover: A ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

For decades, extended inversions of the yield curve — when yields on short-term Treasurys surpassed those of long-term ones — have been considered harbingers of recessions. Now, it might seem like a ...

Humans have been fortune-telling for at least six thousand years — there’s tarot cards, palm reading and the bond market. A 10-year bond theoretically locks up your money for 10 years in exchange for ...

An “inverted” yield curve is a scenario defined by higher yields on short-term Treasury debt versus lower yields on longer-term Treasury debt. The seeming oddity of inversion is short-term debt paying ...

Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any). Economists ...

The current bout of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads will become the third longest once 221 consecutive trading days exhibit a red spread. Despite considerable movement on the very short end ...

The inverted yield curve has been one of the most reliable predictors of an imminent recession. An inversion of short and long-term bond yields has preceded every recession since World War II. But the ...

Thus, the 10-year yield is now trading significantly below short-term yields (3-month at 4.88%). Normally, yields for long-term bonds stay above short-term (a “normal” curve) most of the time as their ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...