News

Reuters1y
US Treasury yield curve to steepen next year as Fed cuts rates, says BofA
NEW YORK, Nov 29 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury yield curve, which plots ... on expectations that the Federal Reserve has reached a peak in its interest-rate hiking cycle, and as the Treasury ...
Hosted on MSN7mon
The Fed’s cutting rates. Here are three yield curve scenarios, and what they’d mean for the stock market
Wednesday’s release of the Federal Reserve ... interest rates. Tan Kai Xian, an analyst at financial research service Gavekal, says there are three scenarios for the yield curve, and for ...
Fox Business1y
Yield curve pioneer warns Fed not to raise rates, predicts possible recession in 2024
Yield curve pioneer Campbell Harvey warned the Federal Reserve against raising rates again later this year, telling FOX Business on "The Claman Countdown" that a recession might still be coming in ...
Seeking Alpha5mon
Treasury Yield Curve Un-Inverts Further: 10-Year Yield Now Higher Than All Shorter Yields; Mortgage Rates Resurge
Since July 2022, the yield curve has been “inverted” - with longer-term yields below short-term yields - as the Fed hiked its policy rates, thereby pushing up short-term Treasury yields ...
Morningstar2mon
How Much Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates?
Wondering what’s in store for interest rates? Rate cuts are on pause for now, but we think that’s only temporary. We expect a further 2 percentage points in cuts to the federal-funds rate by ...
MarketWatch10mon
Treasury yield curve signals timing of first Fed rate cut is getting 'critical'
Friday's PCE data, which "locks in" a September rate ... curve then turns steeper. "The window for the Fed is narrowing fast for policy to become damagingly tight," Emons wrote in a note. "The ...
Barron's6mon
Treasury Yield Curve Spread Surges, Signaling a Fed Rate Cut
The Treasury ‘yield curve’ has spoken: the Federal Reserve's scope to cut interest rates has moved higher. The benchmark yield curve, a term that describes the differentials in returns between ...
Business Insider1y
Bond yields could hit 6% as the Fed is going to keep hiking rates until something breaks, research firm says
The 10-year US Treasury yield is headed to 6%, as the Federal Reserve is likely to raise rates until something breaks in the economy, according to research firm TS Lombard. "Is a 6.5% funds rate ...
Hosted on MSN10mon
This yield curve-fueled recession indicator from the Fed shows a 70% probability of a downturn. Here’s what its author says.
The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession ... One model used at the Fed was written in 2006. Titled “the yield curve and predicting recessions ...
Seeking Alpha1y
The Inverted Yield Curve And Next U.S. Recession
yields (due mainly to Fed rate hiking) or instead (and less frequently) from bond yields declining below bill yields. The US yield curve also provides reliable forecasts of economic-financial ...
The New York Times1y
Wall Street’s Recession Warning Is Flashing. Some Wonder if It’s Wrong.
The yield curve has been ... expect interest rates will fall from their current high level. And that usually happens only when the economy needs propping up and the Fed responds by cutting ...
Morningstar7mon
The Fed's cutting rates. Here are three yield curve scenarios, and what they'd mean for the stock market
Wednesday's release of the Federal ... for interest rates. Tan Kai Xian, an analyst at financial research service Gavekal, says there are three scenarios for the yield curve, and for each he ...