News

Reuters1y
US Treasury yield curve to steepen next year as Fed cuts rates, says BofA
NEW YORK, Nov 29 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury yield curve, which plots ... on expectations that the Federal Reserve has reached a peak in its interest-rate hiking cycle, and as the Treasury ...
Fox Business1y
Yield curve pioneer warns Fed not to raise rates, predicts possible recession in 2024
Yield curve pioneer Campbell Harvey warned the Federal Reserve against raising rates again later this year, telling FOX Business on "The Claman Countdown" that a recession might still be coming in ...
Morningstar2mon
How Much Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates?
Wondering what’s in store for interest rates? Rate cuts are on pause for now, but we think that’s only temporary. We expect a further 2 percentage points in cuts to the federal-funds rate by ...
Seeking Alpha5mon
Treasury Yield Curve Un-Inverts Further: 10-Year Yield Now Higher Than All Shorter Yields; Mortgage Rates Resurge
Since July 2022, the yield curve has been “inverted” - with longer-term yields below short-term yields - as the Fed hiked its policy rates, thereby pushing up short-term Treasury yields ...
Barron's6mon
Treasury Yield Curve Spread Surges, Signaling a Fed Rate Cut
The Treasury ‘yield curve’ has spoken: the Federal Reserve's scope to cut interest rates has moved higher. The benchmark yield curve, a term that describes the differentials in returns between ...
Morningstar7mon
The Fed's cutting rates. Here are three yield curve scenarios, and what they'd mean for the stock market
Wednesday's release of the Federal ... for interest rates. Tan Kai Xian, an analyst at financial research service Gavekal, says there are three scenarios for the yield curve, and for each he ...
Hosted on MSN10mon
This yield curve-fueled recession indicator from the Fed shows a 70% probability of a downturn. Here’s what its author says.
The Federal Reserve seems poised to cut interest rates soon, and fear of a recession ... One model used at the Fed was written in 2006. Titled “the yield curve and predicting recessions ...
MarketWatch1y
Treasury yields aren’t acting like the Fed is done hiking interest rates
by continuing to climb long after the Federal Reserve was presumably done with lifting U.S. interest rates. The yield BX:TMUBMUSD10Y has “not been trading in a manner consistent with prior peaks ...
Seeking Alpha1y
The Inverted Yield Curve And Next U.S. Recession
yields (due mainly to Fed rate hiking) or instead (and less frequently) from bond yields declining below bill yields. The US yield curve also provides reliable forecasts of economic-financial ...
The New York Times1y
Wall Street’s Recession Warning Is Flashing. Some Wonder if It’s Wrong.
The yield curve has been ... expect interest rates will fall from their current high level. And that usually happens only when the economy needs propping up and the Fed responds by cutting ...
CBS News1y
Fed rate hikes are over, economists say. Here's what experts say you should do with your money.
"They've been done [hiking rates ... to 5 years — a rate that might be hard to achieve once the Fed starts cutting. Likewise, if you haven't put your savings into a high-yield savings account ...