Treasury yields shift as the 2y/10y spread ends inversion streak, reducing recession signals. Click for risk probabilities ...

The US Treasury yield curve has a long history of raising alarms among investors and economists. That’s mostly because when it’s flipped upside down from its usual upward slope in what’s ...

Medallion Financial Corp.'s 9% preferred shares offer high yield but pose credit risk and high leverage concerns. Click for ...

The author of the Fed’s yield curve-fueled recession indicator says it shows why the central bank may soon cut interest rates.

The yield curve identifies changes in the economy without the need to make additional calculations. When people refer to the yield curve, they mean the graph mapping the yields of U.S. Treasury ...

Inverted yield curves slope downward, which means that short-term bonds have higher yields than long-term bonds. Inverted yield curves often signal an upcoming period of economic decline.

Financial Terms By: F Forward yield curve Calculate the one-year forward rate. For example, suppose the one-year government bond was yielding 2% and the two-year bond was yielding 4%.

An inverted yield curve is a good, if imperfect, recession indicator. The economy has been resilient to the latest inversion.

A bear steepener is the widening of the yield curve caused by long-term rates increasing at a faster rate than short-term rates.

A so-called inverted yield curve between three-month and 10-year interest rates is considered by Wall Street as a reliable sign of an impending economic slump.

This yield curve-fueled recession indicator from the Fed shows a 70% probability of a downturn. Here's what its author says.