Scott Peterson's strongest argument for overturning his murder conviction might end up being a long shot, according to one ... "The new evidence set forth in this Amended Petition shows that ...

But here’s the good news for chaos-seeking fans: A long shot might sneak into the top 10 ... we have our first set of criteria to whittle down our potential dark-horse picks.

That rate is set to expire at the end of this year and ... rich and help offset some of that sticker shock was always a long-shot effort, but it's one that gained significant traction.