Treasury yields eased, but remained elevated, as labor and manufacturing data corroborated U.S. economic resilience while investors worried about a gaping budget deficit.

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Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury bills. Read the latest update in the article series, as of May 9, 2025.

(For a look at the history of yield curves and recessions, see our earlier story here.) While an inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve isn’t known as a predictor of how deep or how long a recession ...

The first Great Conundrum was in the early 2000s after the 2001 – 2002 50% bear market in the S&P 500 and the start of Gulf War II in March, 2003. Click to read.

The U.S. Treasury yield curve is expected to steepen and Brown Advisory positions for that, said Chris Diaz, co-head of global fixed income, in a note. "From an interest rate risk perspective ...

The massive stock of U.S. sovereign debt relative to GDP hanging over advanced economies should eventually cause yield curves to steepen ... or estimates of the Treasury term premium—to suggest ...